Showing posts with label Economic Survey 2012. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economic Survey 2012. Show all posts

Friday, 31 August 2012

Agriculture Produce Marketing Committee (APMC) Act


Extract from Economic Survey 2012, pp 83

Agriculture markets are regulated in India through the APMC Acts. According to the provisions of the APMC Acts of the states, every APMC is authorized to collect market fees from the buyers/traders in the prescribed manner on the sale of the notified agricultural produce. The relatively high incidence of commission charges on agricultural / horticultural produce renders their marketing cost high, an undesirable outcome.

Thursday, 30 August 2012

Priority Sector Lending

Extract from Economic Survey 2012, Chapter 5 "Financial Intermediation and Markets", pgs 108- 109.

A target of 40 per cent of adjusted net bank credit (ANBC) or credit-equivalent amount of offbalance
sheet exposures (OBE)( whichever is higher as on 31 March of the previous year), has been stipulated for lending to the priority sector by domestic SCBs in the public and private sectors. Bank loans to MFIs have also been included in priroty-sector lending. Within this, sub-targets of 18 per cent and 10 per have been stipulated for lending to agriculture and the weaker sections respectively.

A target of 32 per cent (of ANBC or credit equivalent amount of OBE, whichever is higher), has been stipulated for lending to the priority sector by foreign banks having offices in India.

Although public-sector banks as a group had achieved the overall priority-sector lending target in 2010 fiscal yr, seven out of 27 banks could not individually achieve the target

Private sector banks as a group had achieved the overall lending target in 2010 fiscal yr, and only one of the 21 could not individually achieve the target.

Foreign banks as a group also achieved the overall priority sector lending target on the last reporting Friday of March 2011. However, three of the 30 foreign banks did not individually achieve the target.




External Commercial Borrowings Policy

Extract from Economic Survey 2012, Chapter 5 "Financial Intermediation and Markets", pg.125.


The borrowings raised by an Indian corporate from confirmed banking sources outside India are called External Commercial Borrowings(ECBs).ECBs are permitted by the Government of India as a source of finance for Indian corporates for expansion of existing capacity as well as for fresh investment. 2

ECBs are defined to include:
  • Commercial bank loans
  • Syndicated loans [A syndicated loan is one that is provided by a group of lenders and is structured, arranged, and administered by one or several commercial banks or investment banks known as arrangers. The syndicated loan market is the dominant way for corporations in the U.S. and Europe to tap banks and other institutional financial capital providers for loans. At the most basic level, arrangers serve the investment-banking role of raising investor funding for an issuer in need of capital. The issuer pays the arranger a fee for this service, and this fee increases with the complexity and risk factors of the loan. 3]
  • Buyers' credit and suppliers' credit
  • Securitised instruments such as Floating Rate Notes and Fixed Rate Bonds etc.
  • Credit from official export credit agencies
  • Commercial borrowings from the private sector window of Multilateral Financial Institutions such as IFC, ADB, AFIC, CDC, etc.
Benefits of ECBs: 
  • It provides the foreign currency funds that may not be available in India.
  • The cost of funds at times works out to be cheaper as compared to the cost of Rupee funds.
  • ECBs help in diversification of the investor base.
  • The international market is a better option in case of large requirements, as the availability of the funds is huge when compared to domestic market.
  • Corporates can raise ECBs from internationally recognised sources such as banks, export credit agencies, suppliers of equipment, foreign collaborators, foreign equity holders, international capital markets etc.2

A prospective borrower can access ECBs under two routes, namely the automatic route and approval route. ECBs not covered under the automatic route are considered on case-by-case basis by the RBI under the approval route. The High Level Committee on ECB took a number of steps in September 2011 to expand the scope of ECBs. These include:

Infrastructure Development: Credit Default Swap

Extract from Economic Survey 2012, Chapter 5 "Financial Intermediation and Markets" pg. 119, 129

Infrastructure development is the key to longterm sustainable growth of the economy. However, infrastructure finance remains a constraining factor with heavy dependence on bank financing.

Development of the corporate bond market therefore is the key to infrastructure development. While, the introduction of CDS is expected to help in the process, innovative steps are needed to bring the corporate bond market centre stage of infrastructure financing.

Financial Inclusion

Extract from Economic Survey 2012, Chapter 5 "Financial Inter-mediation and Markets" pg 114-15, 130

The objective of Financial Inclusion is:
  • To extend financial services to the large hitherto unserved population of the country to unlock its growth potential. 
  • In addition, it strives towards a more inclusive growth by making financing available to the poor in particular. 

GoI is achieving Financial Inclusion with key interventions in four groups, viz.
  1. expanding banking infrastructure, 
  2. offering appropriate financial products, 
  3. making extensive and intensive use of technology and 
  4. through advocacy and stakeholder participation.

Insurance

Extract from Economic Survey, Chapter 5 "Financial Intermediation and Markets", pgs 127-130.

A healthy and developing insurance sector is of vital importance to every modern economy. Benefits of a healthy insurance sector are:
  1. it encourages the savings habit, 
  2. it provides a safety net to rural and urban enterprises and productive individuals, and 
  3. generates long-term funds for infrastructure development. 
  4. protect enterprises against risks such as fire and natural disasters. 
  5. Individuals require insurance services in such areas as health care, life, property and pension. 
  6. Social security system and pension reforms also benefit from a mature insurance industry.
Development of insurance is therefore necessary to support continued economic transformation.

Balance of Payments (BoP) situation in India

Relevant extracts  from Economic Survey 2012, Chapter 6 "Balance of Payments".

Balance of Payments comprises:
  1. Current account: Under current account of the BoP, transactions are classified into:
    • Merchandise (exports and imports) and 
    • Invisibles- invisible transactions are further classified into three categories. 
      • Services comprising travel, transportation, insurance, government not included elsewhere (GNIE), and miscellaneous. Miscellaneous services include communication, construction, financial, software, news agency, royalties, management, and business services. 
      • Income. 
      • Transfers (grants, gifts, remittances, etc.) which do not have any quid pro quo form the third category of invisibles.
      • During 2011-12 all broad categories of invisibles, namely services, transfers, and income, 
        showed increase
      • The invisibles account of the BoP reflects the combined effect of transactions relating to international trade in services, income associated with non-resident assets and liabilities, labour and property, and cross-border transfers, mainly workers’ remittances.

Dumping and Anti-Dumping

Dumping is said to have taken place when an exporter sells a product to India at a price less than the price prevailing in its domestic market. However dumping per se is not condemnable and actionable. 
Anti-dumping action is taken when there is sufficient evidence that dumped imports are causing or are threatening to cause material injury to the Indian industry producing like articles or are materially retarding the establishment of industry.

The designated authority in India which investigates dumping and imposes duties is the Directorate General of Anti-Dumping and Allied Duties (Ministry of Commerce, GoI). The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade lays down the principles to be followed by the member countries for imposition of anti-dumping duties, countervailing duties and safeguard measures. The legal framework invoked in this regard include:
  • Based on Article VI of GATT 1994
  • Customs Tariff Act, 1975 - Sec 9A, 9B (as amended in 1995)
  • Anti-Dumping Rules [Customs Tariff (Identification, Assessment and Collection of Anti Dumping Duty on Dumped Articles and for Determination of Injury) Rules, 1995]
  • Investigations and Recommendations by Designated Authority, Ministry of Commerce
  • Imposition and Collection by Ministry of Finance
The uncertainty in the international economic environment could lead to a rise in anti- dumping measures by countries in the coming months. India has been getting a lot of undue flak internationally for the highest anti-dumping initiations, especially with respect to China. [Read India-China Trade]

Sources:
http://commerce.nic.in/ad_guide.htm
http://commerce.nic.in/Anti-Dum.PDF
Economic Survey 2012, pg 172

Wednesday, 22 August 2012

Trajectory of WTO trade negotiations in 2011

Reproduced from Economic Survey 2012, pp 173-74.

The Doha Round of trade negotiations in the WTO effectively made very little progress after 2008. Throughout 2009 and 2010, discussions continued but no headway was made on any substantive issue in the negotiations.  However, the subject featured on the agenda of almost every major international meeting and there were strong affirmations of political support for an early conclusion of the Doha Round. Discussions continued in Geneva during March and April 2011, in a variety of formats.

(Find here a summary of India's stand on key WTO issues).

The focus then shifted to the possibility of selecting some issues for finalization as an ‘early harvest’ in time for the Eighth Ministerial Conference of the WTO in December 2011. It began with an attempt to select issues of particular importance to least developed countries (LDCs). However, these attempts did not meet with any success and proved not only unproductive but very divisive as well. Members could not agree on the issues to be included and sought to selectively bring in various issues of commercial interest to them. Gradually, as Members brought in non-LDC issues, the discussion veered away from the LDC issues.
The LDC issues include
(i) duty free quota free (DFQF) market access;
(ii) the rules of origin for DFQF market access;
(iii) LDC waiver in services; and
(iv) issues relating to cotton (domestic and export subsidies for cotton and tariffs). 
Some of the issues suggested in addition for an ‘LDC plus’ package were trade facilitation and the export competition pillar of the agriculture negotiations. There was however little progress in arriving at a consensus on the elements of the early harvest package. The LDCs made it clear that if the LDC package was not delivered at the December 2011 Ministerial Conference, they would be very disappointed. The African Group, the AfricanCaribbean-Pacific Group, and other groups of developing countries supported an effort to harvest an LDC package for the Conference. India too, supported this stand.

Money Multiplier, Monetary Deepening and Monetization of the Economy

Money Multiplier is the ratio of M3 to Mo, i.e.the ratio of the change in money (deposits and currency) to the change in bank reserves, which results from an injection of additional reserves into the banking system. Most often, it measures the maximum amount of commercial bank money that can be created by a given unit of central bank money. To explain this with an example:

So, to calculate the impact of the multiplier effect on the money supply, we start with the amount banks initially take in through deposits and divide this by the reserve ratio. If, for example, the reserve requirement is 20%, for every $100 a customer deposits into a bank, $20 must be kept in reserve. However, the remaining $80 can be loaned out to other bank customers. This $80 is then deposited by these customers into another bank, which in turn must also keep 20%, or $16, in reserve but can lend out the remaining $64. This cycle continues - as more people deposit money and more banks continue lending it - until finally the $100 initially deposited creates a total of $500 ($100 / 0.2) in deposits. This creation of deposits is the multiplier effect. 4

The higher the reserve requirement, the tighter the money supply, which results in a lower multiplier effect for every dollar deposited. The lower the reserve requirement, the larger the money supply, which means more money is being created for every dollar deposited. 4Therefore as the name suggests, the change in money is typically a multiple of the initial change in bank reserves.This mainly depends on the percentage of deposits that the banks are supposed to keep in reserves.  
 

According to the Economic Survey 2012, the higher rate of expansion in 'currency with the public' and reserves as compared to that in deposits, led to a decrease in the money multiplier during 2010-11. During 2011-12, the money multiplier has generally shown an increasing trend on account of M0 registering a lower growth vis-a-vis M3. 1

Aims of Government's Agricultural Price Policy

Government’s price policy for agricultural produce seeks to: 
  1. ensure remunerative prices to growers for their produce with a view to 
  2. encouraging higher investment and production and 
  3. safeguarding the interests of consumers by making available food supplies at reasonable prices. 
  4. seeks to evolve a balanced and integrated price structure in keeping with the overall needs of the economy. 
To achieve this end, the government announces minimum support prices (MSPs) for major agricultural commodities each season and organizes purchase operations through the Food Corporation of India, and cooperative and other agencies designated by state governments.

Also read: Agriculture Produce Marketing Committee

Source: The Economic Survey 2012

Sunday, 15 April 2012

India's Fifth Trade Policy Review (2011)


Reproduced from Economic Survey 2012, pgs 174-75.

In order to promote transparency and provide better understanding of the trade policies and practices of its members, the WTO has a mechanism for regular review of their trade policies. Depending upon its share in world trade, each member’s trade policy is reviewed by the WTO at fixed periodic intervals. India’s TPR is carried out  every four years. The TPR offers an opportunity to other WTO members to ask questions and raise concerns on different aspects of policies and practices of the country under review. The Fifth TPR of India was held on 14 and 16 September 2011 in the WTO. Before the meeting, the WTO Secretariat circulated a compilation of India’s written replies to 886 advance questions raised by 26 WTO members.

During the review, most of the members commended the resilience of the Indian economy that smoothly withstood the adverse effects of global financial crisis without taking recourse to protectionist measures.
Members appreciated India for using its trade policy to promote sustainable development and inclusive growth.  Members also noted  India’s positive engagement in Doha Round negotiations.

Summary of Issues raised and Responses given:

The Openness of India’s Trading Regime: Questions were asked about the openness of India’s trading regime. In response India pointed out that year after year, India’s imports had outpaced exports. In terms of percentage of GDP, the country’s merchandise trade deficit is one of the highest in the world. India has been autonomously reducing its tariffs over the years. The simple average most favoured nation (MFN) tariff rate declined from 15.1 per cent in 2006-7 to 12 per cent in 2010-11. Both the average agricultural and industrial average tariffs have declined over time. The tariffs on 71 per cent of India’s tariff lines are between 5 and 10 per cent.

Gap between India’s Bound and Applied Rates on Agricultural Products: Some members mentioned the large gap between India’s bound and applied rates on agricultural products. India responded that the large gap reflected India’s steady and continued autonomous tariff liberalization. During the four years since the last TPR, the tariffs on some agricultural commodities had to be adjusted in the face of high volatility in food prices. In most cases tariffs have been brought down and have stayed down. In a few instances they have been raised again but never above their original levels.

Export Incentives: Questions were asked about export promotion schemes. It was explained that India’s export promotion schemes are based on the concept of duty neutralization and providing a level playing field. These schemes are reviewed regularly.

FDI Policy: To a number of questions on FDI policy, India explained that the continuing thrust, during the period since India’s last TPR in 2007, has been on making the FDI policy more liberal and investment friendly. The FDI guidelines have been significantly rationalized, simplified, and consolidated, with the aim of providing a single policy platform for reference of foreign investors. Several new sectors, such as petroleum and natural gas and civil aviation were either opened up to foreign investment or significantly liberalized during this period. Efforts were also being made to streamline and simplify the business environment and make regulations conducive to business.

India’s IP Policies and Enforcement: On questions related to India’s IP policies, India replied that a number of initiatives have been taken to enhance IP protection and enforcement. The changes proposed in the Copyright and Trademark Acts would enhance protection to intellectual property rights (IPRs) in digital technology particularly with regard to the dissemination of protected material over digital networks. These have been supplemented by administrative as well as judicial measures to strengthen the IPR regime. The provisions on IP protection in these laws are further supplemented by border measures to prevent the import of goods involving copyright piracy and counterfeit trademarks.
Another initiative taken by Indian customs is the facility for online registration by the right holders through the web-based Automatic Recordation and Targeting for IPR Protection System.

Government Procurement: On this subject, India explained that the procurement of high tech items and high value tenders, above US$ 50,000 is generally open to international bidders. Major reforms are on the anvil for increasing coverage, improving transparency and efficiency, and better enforcement, which are triggered by domestic concerns relating to enhancing the value for money. An omnibus procurement law applicable to the entire country and to all procuring entities, including public-sector enterprises, is being deliberated upon.

Sanitary and Phyto-sanitary (SPS) and Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) measures: In response to question on India’s SPS and TBT measures, India explained that specific trade concerns raised against India have been largely addressed. Regulations adopted in the past have been on the basis of scientific risk analysis.

Export Restrictions: There were some questions on India’s use of export restrictions. India responded that export restrictions have been used on some occasions for purposes of domestic supply management but these have been purely on a temporary basis. The ban on the export of rice and wheat had to be extended in 2009 due to a dislocation in production and again in 2010 due to the severest drought in the country in the last forty years. However, the export of wheat and non-basmati rice is now completely free. The export of basmati rice is and has always been free. Restrictions on cotton exports were imposed for only a brief period last year. Cotton yarn exports have been made completely free. Similarly, cotton is also freely exportable.

Other Issues: There were questions related to customs valuation, tariffs, and other charges, internal taxation, import licensing, and the use of trade remedies. In response it was pointed out that India cannot be accused of protectionist intent in its use of trade remedies. If that were the case, then the easy route of increasing the tariffs up to the bound rates could have been used; that has not been done. Anti-dumping measures are legitimate instruments against unfair trade practices. Investigations are carried out in a fair and transparent manner and subjected to strict scrutiny. As a rule India only imposes the lesser duty and not the full dumping margin as is done by some WTO members. This underscores the fact that trade remedies are not used as a protectionist tool. Despite the fact that many members, with very deep pockets, use subsidies as part of their trade policy, India has not imposed a single anti-subsidy measure. As on date, there is only one safeguard duty in force. In the wake of the economic crisis, there was a spurt in application of safeguard investigations
in 2009. A total of 14 applications were received but in nine cases, investigations were either terminated or a decision was taken not to impose any safeguard duty. Duties were imposed only in five cases and those too have since been withdrawn. Moreover, India has never taken recourse to quantitative restrictions as safeguard measures. Import licensing affects only a few restricted items primarily on grounds of protection of human, animal, and plant life and the environment. The licensing regime is open and transparent. Licences are granted on a non-discriminatory basis. The relevant regulations are all available in the public domain and the DGFT acts as the nodal agency.

India's stand on key WTO issues

Reproduced from Economic Survey 2012, Box 7.4, pp 174

Agriculture
 Substantial and effective reductions in overall trade-distorting domestic support (OTDS) of the US and EU;
 Self-designation of an appropriate number of special products (SP for which developing countries are to be given extra flexibility in market access for food and livelihood security and rural development);
 An operational and effective Special Safeguard Mechanism (SSM-a tool that will allow developing countries to raise tariffs temporarily to deal with import surges or price falls.);
 Simplification and capping of developed country tariffs.

Non-Agricultural Market Access (NAMA)
 Adequate and appropriate flexibilities for protecting economically vulnerable industries;
 Participation in sectoral initiatives only on a non-mandatory and good faith basis without prejudgment of the final outcome, with substantial special and differential treatment provisions for developing countries;
 Serious consideration of non-tariff barrier (NTB) textual proposals with wide support such as the horizontal mechanism. [Non-tariff barriers include quotas, import licensing systems, sanitary regulations, prohibitions, etc.]

Services
 Need for qualitative improvement in the revised offers especially on Modes 1(cross-border supply) and 4 (movement of natural persons);
 Appropriate disciplining of domestic regulations by developed countries.

Rules
 Tightening of disciplines on anti-dumping (deletion of zeroing clause and reiteration of the lesser duty rule). [An investigating authority usually calculates the dumping margin by getting the average of the differences between the export prices and the home market prices of the product in question. When it chooses to disregard or put a value of zero on instances when the export price is higher than the home market price, the practice is called “zeroing”. Critics claim this practice artificially inflates dumping margins.]
 Effective special and differential treatment for developing countries on fisheries subsidies.

Trade-related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS)
 Establishing a clear linkage between the TRIPS Agreement and the Convention on Bio-diversity (CBD) by incorporating specific disclosure norms for patent applications;
 Enhanced protection for geographical indications (GIs) other than wines and spirits.

Sources:
Definitions of terms from : http://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/glossary_e/glossary_e.htm

FII Investment in Bonds

The government reviewed FII Investment limits in November 2011 in the context of India’s evolving macroeconomic situation and the need for enhancing capital flows and making available additional financial resources for the corporate sector:

1. FII investment limit in government securities (treasury bills and dated securities) was raised by US$5billion, raising the cap to US $ 15 billion.
2. FII investment limit in corporate bonds was raised by US$ 5billion, raising the cap to US$20 billion.

 The investment limit in long-term infrastructure corporate bonds, however, has been kept unchanged at US$ 25 billion. With this, overall limit for FII investment in corporate bonds and government securities now stands at US$ 60 billion. 1

Last time, this limit was reviewed in 2010. In September 2010 and since then, about 94% of the limit for government securities and about 91% for FII investments in corporate bonds have been used up. So, both these limits are close to exhausted. Hence, the finance ministry raised these limits after a review.  This move will help the Centre raise funds through market borrowing programme without hurting availability of money for the private sector. 2

 Sources:
1. Economic Survey 2012, pg.125
2. http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/cnbc-tv18-comments/finance-ministry-increases-fii-investment-limit-to-3615bn_619672.html

Friday, 13 April 2012

Deregulation of Interest Rate on Savings Bank Deposits


"A major component of the financial sector reform process pursued by India has been deregulation of a complex structure of deposit and lending interest rates. On the deposit side, the only interest rate that remained regulated was the savings deposit interest rate. Keeping in view progressive deregulation of interest rates, in the Second Quarter Review of Monetary Policy 2010-11, the RBI proposed that a discussion paper on ‘Deregulation of Savings Bank Deposit Interest Rate’ would be prepared.

"After carefully weighing the pros and cons of deregulation of savings bank deposit interest rate, effective 25 October 2011, the RBI deregulated savings bank account interest rates, wherein banks will have to keep a uniform rate of interest for savings accounts with deposits up to ` 1 lakh, while differential interest rates could be set for savings bank deposits over ` 1 lakh. The deregulation is expected to:

  1. improve the transmission of monetary policy
  2. enhance the attractiveness of savings accounts  
  3. encourage thrift behaviour in the economy by bringing the savings deposit rate in sync with the changing market conditions."


Reproduced from: Economic Survey 2012, Box 5.1, pg. 107.

Thursday, 12 April 2012

Major Monetary Policy Tools and Operating Procedure


The Call Money Market
The call money market is an important segment of the money market where uncollateralized borrowing and lending of funds take place on overnight basis. This offers the banks an avenue for adjusting their cash reserve requirements, i.e. to even out their day-to-day deficits and cash surpluses.The interest rates are market determined.
Participants in the call money market in India currently include scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) (excluding regional rural banks), cooperative banks (other than land development banks), and primary dealers, both as borrowers and lenders (RBI's Master Circular dated 1 July 2011). Thus it is a purely inter-bank market.
Borrowers and lenders are required to have current accounts with RBI to participate in the call money market. Prudential limits in respect of both outstanding borrowing and lending transactions for each of these entities are specified by the RBI.
[Note: Primary dealers are firms that buy government securities directly from the RBI with an intention of reselling to others.] 1.

Open Market Operations
OMOs are conducted by the RBI via the sale/purchase of government securities to/from the market with the primary aim of modulating rupee liquidity conditions in the market. OMOs are an effective quantitative policy tool in the armoury of the RBI, but are constrained by the stock of government securities available with it at a point in time.

The Liquidity Adjustment Facility
The LAF is the key element in the monetary policy operating framework of the RBI. On daily basis, the RBI stands ready to  lend to or borrow money from the banking system, as per the latter's requirement, at fixed interest rates. The primary aim of such an operation is to assist banks to adjust to their day-to-day mismatches in liquidity, via repo and reverse repo operations.
Under the repo or repurchase option, banks borrow money from the RBI via the sale of securities with an agreement to purchase the securities back at a fixed rate at a future date. The rate charged by the RBI to aid this process of liquidity injection is termed as the repo rate. Under the reverse repo operation, the RBI borrows money from the banks, draining liquidity out from the system. The rate at which the RBI borrows money is the reverse repo rate.
The interest rate on the LAF is fixed by the RBI from time to time (with crucial changes introduced recently in the operating procedure of Monetary Policy detailed in the next paragraph). LAF operations help the RBI effectively transmit interest rate signals to the market.

Changes in the Operating Procedure of Monetary Policy
Effective 3 May 2011, based on the recommendations of the Working Group on Operating Procedure of Monetary Policy, the operating framework of monetary policy has been refined.

  • The repo rate has been made the only independently varying policy rate.
  • A new marginal standing facility (MSF) has been instituted, under which SCBs have been allowed to borrow overnight at their discretion, at 100 basis points(bps) above the repo rate.
  • The reverse repo rate has been placed 100 bps below repo rate and the MSF rate 100 bps above the repo rate. [So if repo rate is 5.5, then reverse repo rate will be 4.5 and MSF will be 6.5]

It is expected that the fixed interest rate corridor, set by the MSF rate and reverse repo rate, by reducing uncertainty and avoiding difficulties in communication associated with a variable corridor, will help in keeping the overnight average call money rate close to the repo rate.

Reproduced from:
Economic Survey 2012, Box 4.7, pg 96.
1. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Primary_dealer
2. CSAT Economy Special, 2011, Arihant Publishers.

Wednesday, 11 April 2012

Measures of Money Supply and Liquidity Aggregates


Reserve Money (M0) = Currency in Circulation + Bankers' deposits with the RBI + 'Other' deposits with the RBI.
Narrow Money (M1) = Currency with the Public + Demand Deposits with the Banking System + 'Other' Deposits with the RBI.
M2=M1 + Savings Deposits of Post-office Savings Banks.
Broad Money (M3) = M1 + Time Deposits with the Banking System.
M4 = M3 + All deposits with Post Office Savings Banks (excluding National Savings Certificates).

[Note: 'Other' deposits with RBI comprise mainly: (i) deposits of quasi-government and other financial institutions including primary dealers, (ii) balances in the accounts of foreign Central banks and Governments, (iii) accounts of international agencies such as the International Monetary Fund, etc.]  2

While measures M0, M1 and M3 are widely used in India, M2 and M4 are rarely used. The RBI initiated publication of a new set of monetary and liquidity aggregates as per the recommendations of the Working Group on Money Supply: Analytics and Methodology of Compilation. Following the submission of its report in June 1998, while no changes were made in the definitions of M0 and M1, new monetary aggregates NM2 and NM3 as well as liquidity aggregates L1, L2, and L3 were introduced, the components of which are elaborated as follows.

NM1 = Currency with the Public + Demand Deposits with the Banking System + 'Other' Deposits with the RBI.
NM2 = NM1 + Short Term Time Deposits of Residents (including and up to the contractual maturity of one year).
NM3 = NM2 + Long-term Time Deposits of Residents + Call/Term Funding from Financial Institutions.
L1 = NM3 + All Deposits with the Post Office Savings Banks (excluding National Savings Certificates)
L2 = L1 +Term deposits with Term Lending Institutions and Refinancing Institutions (FIs) + Term Borrowing by FIs + Certificates of Deposit issued by FIs
L3= L2 + Public Deposits of Non-banking Financial Companies.

Data on M0 are published by the RBI on weekly basis, while those for M1 and M3 are available on fortnightly basis. Among liquidity aggregates, data on L1 and L2 are published monthly, while those for L3 are disseminated once in a quarter.

Source:
1. Economic Survey 2012 pg. 90
2. http://mospi.nic.in/mospi_new/upload/fess_10.html

National Housing Board's RESIDEX


The NHB RESIDEX is an Initiative of the National Housing Bank (NHB) to provide an index of residential prices in India across cities and over time, and was launched in 2007. The NHB RESIDEX now covers 15 cities and is updated and released on a quarterly basis with 2007 as base year.

The prices of residential properties during the period 2007 to 2011 have witnessed increases in 11 cities with maximum increase in Chennai (166 per cent)
followed by Bhopal (117 per cent), Faridabad (116 per cent),
Kolkata (92 per cent), Mumbai (87 per cent),
Ahmedabad (67 per cent), Pune (63 per cent), Lucknow (60 per cent),
Delhi (54 per cent), Surat (47 per cent), and Patna (43 per cent),

4 cities have witnessed decline in prices with maximum decrease observed in Jaipur (36 per cent) followed by Hyderabad (14 per cent), Bengaluru (6 per cent), and Kochi (2 per cent).

The possible reasons for increase in prices could be overall increase in inflation rate particularly relating to building materials, improvement in infrastructural facilities like metro connectivity resulting in increased demand for housing, favourable political and economic environment, and increased business and employment opportunities.

Source:
Economic Survey 2012, pp 86-87


Inflation Indices: WPI, CPI...


Wholesale Price Index:

To calculate inflation, the inflation-computing agency collects the prices of identified commodities. The agency can take into account wholesale prices, retail prices or factory-gate prices. As wholesale markets are few in number, it is easier to collect the prices of goods traded there.

A new series of WPI was launched in 2010 with 2004-05 as the base year. This was done so that WPI by reflecting the consumption pattern of people will truly reflect price rise. The new index will have 676 items up from 435 items of the previous index.The 100-point index is subdivided into three groups.

  1. Primary article group: which include food and non-food agricultural products- 102 items with 22% weightage
  2. Fuel and Power category: 19 items with 13% weightage
  3. Manufactured products: 555 items with a weightage of 65%

Tuesday, 10 April 2012

Comparative Ratings Index for Sovereigns (CRIS)

CRIS stands for Comparative Ratings Index for Sovereigns, which has been developed by the Ministry of Finance, GoI. It was unveiled in Feb 2012.

This index provides a comparison of sovereign ratings. The index is based on the ratings data of the global agency Moody's, and the GDP data of 101 nations given by the IMF. 

The need for such a comparative index rose because major credit ratings agencies provide the sovereign credit rating of each nation as an absolute grade (A+, AA, B- etc.). How other nations fare does not matter in particular nation's scoring. But this comparison is important because for example: If nation A’s absolute rating is unchanged, but all other nations find their ratings rise, then nation A's comparative rating would go down; and an investor may well have reason to consider pulling some of her investment out of that nation.

In CRIS, India's score has risen from 66.47 in 2007 to 69.83 in 2011. In other words India has become a better investment destination by 5.06%. Also India's rank moved up from 61st position in 2007 to 55th in 2011. The improved score is partly due to the decline in scores of some European nations.
As per CRIS, Paraguay, Indonesia and Peru were the countries that posted the maximum increase in their ratings between 2007 and 2011 while Portugal, Ireland and Pakistan witnessed the biggest fall in the index. 

Sources:
2. Economic Survey 2012 pg.35